A biopharma project being pursued by Hopfer Pharmaceutical has a negative NPV of $28 million Still,

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A biopharma project being pursued by Hopfer Pharmaceutical has a negative NPV of − $28 million Still, Hopfer may participate in this project as a “pioneer” option, giving the company an option to participate later in a large project that could have an attractive NPV. The large follow-on project will require $750 million in cash in 4 years. The current NPV of that project is estimated to be $270 million, and it has annual volatility of 35%. Assume a risk-free rate of 10%. Should Hopfer take the pioneer option?

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Making Hard Decisions with decision tools

ISBN: 978-0538797573

3rd edition

Authors: Robert Clemen, Terence Reilly

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