A television reporter is covering the election for mayor of
A television reporter is covering the election for mayor of a large city and will conduct an exit poll (interviews with voters immediately after they vote) to make an early prediction of the outcome. Assume that the eventual winner of the election will get 60% of the votes.
a. What is the probability that a prediction based on an exit poll of a random sample of 25 voters will be correct? In other words, what is the probability that 13 or more of the 25 voters in the sample will have voted for the eventual winner?
b. How large a sample would the reporter have to take so that the probability of correctly predicting the outcome would be .95 or higher?
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