According to an article in The New Yorker (March 12, 2007), the Department of Homeland Security in
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The New York Police Department (NYPD) has expressed concerns that the system would generate too many false alarms.
a. Form a contingency table that cross classifies whether a vehicle entering Manhattan contains radioactive material and whether the device detects radiation. Identify the cell that corresponds to the false alarms the NYPD fears.
b. Let A be the event that a vehicle entering Manhattan contains radioactive material. Let B be the event that the device detects radiation. Sketch a Venn diagram for which each event has similar (not the same) probability but the probability of a false alarm equals 0.
c. For the diagram you sketched in part b, explain why P(A | B) = 1, but P(B | A) < 1.
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Related Book For
Statistics The Art And Science Of Learning From Data
ISBN: 9780321755940
3rd Edition
Authors: Alan Agresti, Christine A. Franklin
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