Bob and Bill are two weather forecasters for AccurateWeather. Bob is a veteran forecaster, while Bill is fresh out of school. The following are the records (in number of predictions) on both forecasters' ability to predict whether it will rain in the next 24 hours.

a) Which forecaster would you hire? Why?

b) Who is a more conservative forecaster? Why?

c) How would a conservative vs. a risky forecaster be beneficial for different geographic regions?

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Bill said: Bob said: True result No rain 56 5,318 Totals True result No rain 138 349 Totals Rain 268 Rain 324 5,638 5,962 238 370 608 Rain No rain Totals Rain No rain Totals 100 320 588 21 487 5,374 121