Following with the same data as in Exercise 7, and using the EViews software, a. Calculate the
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a. Calculate the sample autocorrelation functions, ACF and PACF of Rt for k = 1, 2, ..., 12.
b. Compute the following conditional means (assume linearity): E(Rt| Rt–1), E(Rt|,Rt–1, Rt–2), E(Rt|,Rt–1, Rt–2, Rt–4). Do you think that it will be possible to predict future returns based on linear combinations of past returns? Why or why not?
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Forecasting for Economics and Business
ISBN: 978-0131474932
1st edition
Authors: Gloria Gonzalez Rivera
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