# Question

For the situation described in Exercise 8.42, suppose that only 49% of the registered voters in the sample favor the candidate over her strongest opponent. Given this result:

a. If the campaign manager’s claim is correct, what is the probability that the sample proportion would be no more than 0.49 for a sample of this size?

b. Based on your answer to part (a), speculate on whether the campaign manager’s claim might be mistaken.

a. If the campaign manager’s claim is correct, what is the probability that the sample proportion would be no more than 0.49 for a sample of this size?

b. Based on your answer to part (a), speculate on whether the campaign manager’s claim might be mistaken.

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