# Question: In August 2012 tropical storm Isaac formed in the Caribbean

In August 2012, tropical storm Isaac formed in the Caribbean and was headed for the Gulf of Mexico. There was an initial probability of .69 that Isaac would become a hurricane by the time it reached the Gulf of Mexico (National Hurricane Center website, August 21, 2012).

a. What was the probability that Isaac would not become a hurricane but remain a tropical storm when it reached the Gulf of Mexico?

b. Two days later, the National Hurricane Center projected the path of Isaac would pass directly over Cuba before reaching the Gulf of Mexico. How did passing over Cuba alter the probability that Isaac would become a hurricane by the time it reached the Gulf of Mexico? Use the following probabilities to answer this question. Hurricanes that reach the Gulf of Mexico have a .08 probability of having passed over Cuba. Tropical storms that reach the Gulf of Mexico have a .20 probability of having passed over Cuba.

c. What happens to the probability of becoming a hurricane when a tropical storm passes over a landmass such as Cuba?

a. What was the probability that Isaac would not become a hurricane but remain a tropical storm when it reached the Gulf of Mexico?

b. Two days later, the National Hurricane Center projected the path of Isaac would pass directly over Cuba before reaching the Gulf of Mexico. How did passing over Cuba alter the probability that Isaac would become a hurricane by the time it reached the Gulf of Mexico? Use the following probabilities to answer this question. Hurricanes that reach the Gulf of Mexico have a .08 probability of having passed over Cuba. Tropical storms that reach the Gulf of Mexico have a .20 probability of having passed over Cuba.

c. What happens to the probability of becoming a hurricane when a tropical storm passes over a landmass such as Cuba?

**View Solution:**## Answer to relevant Questions

ParFore created a website to market golf equipment and golf apparel. Management would like a special pop-up offer to appear for female website visitors and a different special pop-up offer to appear for male website ...The following crosstabulation shows household income by educational level of the head of household Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2008).a. Develop a joint probability table.b. What is the probability of a head ...Prepare a report with your rankings of the judges. Also, include an analysis of the likelihood of appeal and case reversal in the three courts. At a minimum, your report should include the following:1. The probability of ...During the period of time that a local university takes phone-in registrations, calls come in at the rate of one every two minutes.a. What is the expected number of calls in one hour?b. What is the probability of three calls ...The following table is a partial probability distribution for the MRA Company’s projected profits (x 5 profit in $1000s) for the first year of operation (the negative value denotes a loss). x f(x) 2100 .......... .10 ...Post your question