# Question

In Exercise 6, the following scenario was presented. Suppose that 55% of the voters in a large city support a particular candidate for mayor and 45% do not support the candidate. A poll of 100 voters will be conducted, and the proportion of them who support the candidate will be found. For this exercise, you want to simulate 1000 polls of 100 people each, and find the proportion of those polls for which 49 or fewer support the candidate. That will provide an estimate of the probability that the poll shows less than majority support, even though in truth 55% of the population supports the candidate. For parts (a) to (e), specify what you would answer for each of the questions to accomplish this simulation using www.randomizer.org. Remember that the simulator will not allow you to specify different weights for the outcomes, so you need to figure out how to incorporate the 0.55 and 0.45 probabilities into your simulation.

a. How many sets of numbers do you want to generate?

b. How many numbers per set?

c. Number range (e. g., 1– 50).

d. Do you wish each number in a set to remain unique?

e. Do you wish to sort the numbers that are generated?

f. Once you had the results of the simulation, how would you use them to estimate the desired probability?

a. How many sets of numbers do you want to generate?

b. How many numbers per set?

c. Number range (e. g., 1– 50).

d. Do you wish each number in a set to remain unique?

e. Do you wish to sort the numbers that are generated?

f. Once you had the results of the simulation, how would you use them to estimate the desired probability?

## Answer to relevant Questions

Find a study that was done using simulation to estimate a p-value, probability, or random outcome, similar to the earthquake simulation study described in Case Study 15.1. Or, find a simulation website that allows you to ...Explain how the concepts in this chapter account for each of the following scenarios: a. Most people rate death by shark attacks to be much more likely than death by falling airplane parts, yet the chances of dying from the ...People were asked to give a personal probability assessment of the possible occurrence of each of the following two events (Kahneman, 2011, p. 159): • “A massive flood somewhere in North America next year, in which more ...Find and explain an example of a marketing strategy that uses one of the techniques in this chapter to try to increase the chances that someone will purchase something. Do not use an exact example from the chapter, such as ...Suppose twin sisters are reunited after not seeing each other since they were 3 years old. They are amazed to find out that they are both married to men named James and that they each have a daughter named Jennifer. Explain ...Post your question

0