In January 2016, Continental Fund Services, Inc., enters into a one-year contract with a client to provide investment advisory services. The company will receive a management fee, prepaid at the beginning of the contract that is calculated as 1% of the client's $150 million total assets being managed. In addition, the contract specifies that Continental will receive a performance bonus of 20% of any returns in excess of the return on the Dow Jones Industrial Average market index. Continental estimates that it will earn a $2 million performance bonus, but is very uncertain of that estimate, given that the bonus depends on a highly volatile stock market. On what transaction price should Continental base revenue recognition?