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In the project described in Problem 18, assume that the net cash inflows are probabilistic variables. Further

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In the project described in Problem 18, assume that the net cash inflows are probabilistic variables. Further assume that each forecast net cash inflow is normally distributed with standard deviations of $1,000, $1,500, $2,000, and $3,500, respectively. Given a required rate of return of 0.2, find the mean forecast NPV using Crystal Ball®. What is the probability that the actual NPV will be positive?


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The spreadsheet from Problem 18 was modified in two ways Cells B5 through B8 were defined as assumpt...View the full answer


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Project Management in Practice

Project Management in Practice

ISBN: 978-0470533017

4th edition

Authors: Samuel J. Mantel Jr., Jack R. Meredith, Sco

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NPV stands for \"Net Present Value,\" which is a financial concept used to determine the value of an investment or project. It measures the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a given period of time, using a specific discount rate. To calculate the NPV of an investment, you need to first estimate the cash inflows and outflows associated with the investment, and then discount them back to their present values using a discount rate. The discount rate represents the cost of capital or the expected rate of return required by investors. The formula for calculating NPV is: NPV = sum of (cash inflows / (1 + discount rate)^t) - sum of (cash outflows / (1 + discount rate)^t) Where: Cash inflows: the expected cash received from the investment Cash outflows: the expected cash paid out for the investment Discount rate: the required rate of return or the cost of capital t: the time period in which the cash flow occurs If the NPV is positive, it means that the investment is expected to generate a return higher than the required rate of return or the cost of capital, and it may be considered a good investment. If the NPV is negative, it means that the investment is not expected to generate a return higher than the required rate of return or the cost of capital, and it may be considered a bad investment.

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