Question: One of the problems of using simulation to incorporate risk
One of the problems of using simulation to incorporate risk into capital budgeting is related to the idea that the probability distributions of successive cash flows usually are not independent. If the first period's cash flow is at the high end of its range, for example, flows in subsequent periods are more likely to be high than low. Why do you think this is generally the case? Describe an approach through which the computer might adjust for this phenomenon to portray risk better.
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