Refer to Case 6.2. Another baseball strategy is to attempt to steal second base. Historically the probability of a successful steal of second base is approximately 68%. The probability of being thrown out is 32%. (We’ll ignore the relatively rare event wherein the catcher throws the ball into center field allowing the base runner to advance to third base.) Suppose there is a runner on first base. For each of the possible number of outs (0, 1, or 2), determine whether it is advisable to have the runner attempt to steal second base.

  • CreatedFebruary 03, 2015
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