A home improvement company in Cincinnati ran a promotion: If a customer bought new windows before December

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A home improvement company in Cincinnati ran a promotion: If a customer bought new windows before December 10, then if Cincinnati had a white Christmas, the purchase would be free. In the fine print, a “white Christmas” was defined as four inches of snowfall on December 25. The National Weather Service summarized Christmas Day snowfall from 1893 to 2014 as follows:


What is the probability that the company would have to reimburse customers who took this offer?  

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