A data set on pregnancy rates among girls under 18 years of age in 13 north central

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A data set on pregnancy rates among girls under 18 years of age in 13 north central Florida counties has information on a 3-year total for each county i on ni = number of births and yi = number of those for which mother had age under 18.

a. A beta-binomial model states that given {πi}, {Yi} are independent {bin(n, πi)} variates, and (πi) are independent from a beta(α, β) distribution. The ML estimated parameters are α̂ = 9.9 and β̂ = 240.8. Use the mean and variance to describe the estimated beta distribution and the estimated marginal distribution of Yi (as a function of ni).

b. Quasi-likelihood using variance function (13.10) for the model logit(µi) = α has α̂ = –3.18 and ρ̂ = 0.005. Describe the estimated mean and variance of Yi.

c. Quasi-likelihood using variance (13.11) for the model logit(µi) = α has α̂ = –3.35 and ϕ̂ = 8.3. Describe the estimated mean and variance of Yi.

d. The logistic-normal GLMM, logit(πi) = α + ui, yields α̂ = – 3.24 and σ̂ = 0.33. Describe the estimated mean of Yi [Recall (12.8)].

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