Jasmine’s Dresswear Manufacturers is preparing a strategy for the fall season. One alternative is to expand its traditional ensemble of wool sweaters. A second option would be to enter the cashmere sweater market with a new line of high-quality designer label products. The marketing department has determined that the wool and cashmere sweater lines offer the following probability of outcomes and related cash flows:

The initial cost to expand the wool sweater line is $142,000. To enter the cashmere sweater line, the initial cost in designs, inventory, and equipment is $102,000.
a. Diagram a complete decision tree of possible outcomes similar to Table 13-6. Note that you are dealing with thousands of dollars rather than millions. Take the analysis all the way through the process of computing expected NPV (the last column for each investment).
b. Given the analysis in part a, would you automatically make the investment indicated?

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Expected Sales Fantastic.. Moderate. Low.. Expand Wool Sweaters Line Probability 0.5 0.2 0.3 Present Value of Cash Flows from Sales $221,000 192,000 88,600 Enter Cashmere Sweaters Line Probability 0.3 0.4 0.3 Present Value of Cash Flows from Sales $341,000 272,000 0