A construction company is bidding on a project that has a potential profit of $2,000,000. However, there
Question:
A construction company is bidding on a project that has a potential profit of $2,000,000. However, there is a 20% chance that the project will encounter delays due to bad weather, which could result in a loss of $500,000. The company is risk-averse and wants to determine whether the potential profit is worth the risk.
Assuming that the project's cash flows follow a normal distribution, with a mean profit of $2,000,000 and a standard deviation of $500,000, what is the expected value and the standard deviation of the company's profit?
If the company requires a minimum expected profit of $1,500,000 and a minimum standard deviation of $200,000, should they bid on the project?
Show all calculations and express your final answer in dollars. (20 marks)
Analyzing Data And Making Decisions Statistics For Business Microsoft Excel 2010 Updated
ISBN: 9780132924962
2nd Edition
Authors: Judith Skuce