December 30, 2015 was a late evening for Rajesh Vyas, a financial advisor at one of the
Question:
December 30, 2015 was a late evening for Rajesh Vyas, a financial advisor at one of the prominent brokerage firms operating out of the Bandra Kurla Complex, Mumbai. Rajesh was examining the latest financial information from Amtek Auto Limited (Amtek Auto), an integrated automotive component manufacturer headquartered in New Delhi, India. Some of his firm’s clients held equity shares in Amtek Auto and had approached Rajesh’s reporting manager for future investment advice on the company. Rajesh was instructed by his manager to evaluate the financial position of the firm to enable his firm’s clients to make rational investment decisions with regards to their holdings in Amtek Auto. On September 20, 2015, Amtek Auto had defaulted on the INR 800 crore worth of bond payment to its lenders on account of its inability to refinance maturity obligations (Nair & Adajania, 2015). This incident represented one of the biggest corporate bond defaults in years wherein debt and equity lenders were caught completely unaware that the company faced significant deterioration in its financial position. For a company like Amtek, which was one of the largest integrated automotive component manufacturers in India with a strong global presence, bond payment default had come as a rude jolt. From a high of INR 156 per share in July 2015, Amtek’s stock declined to INR 45 per share in October 2015, resulting in an equity market value of just under INR 10,000 million. To enable his firm’s clients to decide whether their investments in Amtek were justified, Rajesh decided to conduct a close scrutiny of the financial statements (income statement, balance sheet and cash flow). He knew that equity investors used the information contained in financial statements (profit and loss account, balance sheet, and cash flow) to assess the future earnings and cash flows generation ability of a firm, while lenders used it to assess the creditworthiness or debt paying capacity. In either case, Rajesh knew it was important to understand and interpret the large amount of data that these financial statements contained. He planned to assess the underlying weakness in profitability and status of Amtek’s various financial parameters for the preceding years to develop a rationale for investors. However, such an analysis required an understanding of various aspects of the firm’s performance, including its liquidity, profitability, working capital, capital structure, and financial risk. Before Rajesh could move on to conduct the financial evaluation of Amtek Auto, he needed to find the best way to carry out a financial risk assessment of Amtek Auto in light of the company’s current financial statements. What would be the basis for calculating and deciphering various financial ratios including trend and impact analysis? Would this financial assessment provide useful insights for his clients to develop rationales for their investment decisions?
Indian Automotive Component Industry
The Indian automotive component industry, estimated to be around USD 38 billion (ACMA, 2015–16) in terms of turnover (includes sales to original equipment manufacturers, aftermarket sales, and exports), has grown tremendously over the past decade on the back of increased indigenization/localization and attractiveness of India as a preferable designing and manufacturing base. According to the Auto Components Manufacturing Association of India (ACMA), India’s auto component industry was expected to see a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% over 2013–2021 (ACMA, 2015–16). With the growing demand and scale of automotive components in India, manufacturers had been able to keep the costs 10–25% lower relative to operations in Europe and Latin America. This cost savings and annual growth had been possible because of the availability of a large pool of skilled and semi-skilled workers and low input costs (India being the third largest steel producer globally) (Mazumdar, 2016). According to ACMA (2015–16a), the Indian automotive component industry can be primarily divided into six major segments:
a. engine parts;
b. driver transmission and steering parts;
c. electrical parts;
d. equipment;
e. suspension and braking parts; and
f. body and chassis.
Of the above segments, engine and driver transmission parts constituted almost 50% of the total auto component industry production followed by suspension and braking parts (12%), body and chassis (12%), equipment (10%), and electrical parts (9%)
In terms of performance, in the financial year 2014–2015, the Indian automotive component industry registered a growth of 11% in turnover compared to the previous year. A major contributor to this growth had been the export of auto components to various countries, such as Europe, North America, Africa, and Latin America. As a result of low-cost manufacturing advantages, technologically advanced products, and the substantial depreciation of the rupee over the last few years, India’s export of auto components had witnessed an impressive growth. According to the IBEF (India Brand Equity Foundation), the Indian automotive components industry was expected to record a turnover of US$ 115 billion by the financial year 2021, at which time exports would comprise approximately US$30 billion (IBEF, 2015).
Amtek Auto
Amtek Auto, incorporated in 1985, rose to become one of the largest integrated automotive component manufacturers in India with a strong global presence across Europe and North America. With significant expertise in forging, grey and ductile iron casting, gravity and high-pressure aluminum die casting, and machining and sub-assembly, the company manufactured products such as connecting rod assemblies, flywheel ring gears and assembly, steering knuckles, crankshaft assemblies, and torque links (NDTV profit, n.d.). Besides this, Amtek Auto also catered to the demand (domestic and exports) for non-auto sectors such as the railways, specialty vehicles, aerospace, agricultural, and heavy earth moving equipment (Business Standard, n.d.). Amtek Auto had been a key beneficiary of expansion of global OEMs (original equipment manufacturers) in India on account of its significant investment in capacity and acquisitions over the last few years to achieve scale. In terms of group structure, Amtek Auto’s promoters hold a stake of 48.98% in Amtek Auto, the flagship company. Within domestic subsidiaries, the company holds a 71.2% stake in Amtek India, 64.8% in Ahmednagar Forgings, and 71.7% in JMT Auto. In terms of overseas subsidiaries, the company holds 100% in Tekfor (as a part of Amtek global technologies) and Kuepper (engaged in iron castings for turbocharger housings) (see Figure 1).
Figure 1: Amtek Auto Group structure
Source: Amtek Auto (2015)
In terms of revenue segmentation by process, the company operated a highly diversified business model with machined components accounting for 53% of the consolidated revenues, followed by forging (34%), iron casting (9.7%), and aluminum casting (3%). In terms of end market segmentation, the company was present across all vehicle segments with the auto segment comprising almost 83% of the total revenues. Within the auto segment, the passenger vehicle segment was the key revenue driver for Amtek. It accounted for nearly 60% of the total revenues, while the commercial vehicle segment contributed only 14% of overall revenues. To grow inorganically, the company had made a host of acquisitions in either related businesses or related products or processes—including the acquisitions of JMT Auto (auto and non-auto gears), Amtek Tekfor (engine parts), and Amtek Kuepper (turbocharger housings). With the recent acquisitions of Tekfor and Kuepper Group, the overseas businesses accounted for almost ~42% of the consolidated revenues.
Financial Performance and Management Outlook
To understand the current state of financial affairs at Amtek Auto and the management outlook for the future, Rajesh examined excerpts from the “Director’s Report” and “Management Discussion and Analysis” sections of the Amtek Auto annual report 2014–15 (Amtek Auto, 2015). For the 2014–2015 financial year, aggregate sales of Amtek Auto registered a decline of 5.6% compared to 27% growth in the previous financial year of 2013–2014. On account of declining revenues (due to subdued performance of global economy) and rising expenditures (due to increase in raw material cost), the company recorded a loss of INR 1,157 million in the 2014–2015 year, compared to a profit of INR 3,234 million in the previous 2013–2014 year. Due to losses incurred, the company did not recommend any dividend on the equity shares for the 2014–2015 financial year.
During 2014–2015, the company acquired German-based Scholz Edelstahl GmbH through its 100% Singapore-based subsidiary Amtek Precision Engineering Pte. Ltd. The acquisition of Scholz—a company that also engaged in the special steel trading business—enabled backward integration with all of Amtek Group’s international business. Through its overseas subsidiary, Amtek also acquired various companies engaged in iron casting, forging, and machining from Japan-based Asahi Tec Corporation. The acquired companies had various manufacturing facilities located in Japan, Thailand, and China that had long standing relationships with the blue chip OEM. The objective of the above acquisitions were to increase access to state of the art technologies, growth markets, new customers, and several strategic cross selling opportunities. Besides this, the expansion through acquisitions was supposed to bring backward integration and realise key financial synergies benefits.
Looking ahead, the management forecasted an increasing demand from overseas subsidiaries for products that were manufactured only at Amtek’s India-based facilities, including for camshafts, crankshafts, cylinder blocks, and cast turbo charger housing. The management believed that the cross selling opportunities were substantial and expected to yield benefits in the near term. Further, the acquisitions overseas provided Amtek Auto with access to state of the art technologies, growth markets, new customers, and several strategic cross selling opportunities.
Data for Financial Analysis
Rajesh decided to conduct the financial ratio analysis of Amtek Auto by using the audited financial statements (profit and loss statement and balance sheet) of the company for the previous four years (see Tables 1 and 2).
Specifically, Rajesh decided to conduct his financial analysis using the following six categories of ratios in order to explore various aspects of Amtek Auto’s performance including liquidity, working capital, profitability, efficiency, and financial risk:
• liquidity ratios;
• working capital ratios;
• profitability ratios;
• capital structure ratios;
• turnover ratios;
• return on investment ratios.
With all this financial information in hand, Rajesh set out to assess the financial statements of Amtek Auto on the basis of various financial parameters highlighted above. He decided to calculate and decipher these financial ratios to offer a trend and impact analysis. Investors needed to understand why Amtek had been unable to refinance maturity obligations and assess the future earnings and cash flow generation abilities of the company. Rajesh trusted that his financial statement analysis would provide an evaluation of the overall financial health and risk profile of the company. He also trusted that this analysis would help investors assess the necessary aspects of Amtek’s performance and develop a rationale for their holdings in Amtek going forward.
Required:
1. Evaluate the potential usefulness of Rajesh’s financial statement analysis.
2. Assess whether Rajesh chose the proper financial parameters/ratios to evaluate Amtek Auto’s overall financial health and risk profile.
3. Estimate the various financial ratios (liquidity ratios, working capital ratios, profitability ratios, turnover ratios, capital structure ratios, and return on investment ratios) for Amtek Auto using publicly available audited financial statements.
4. Compare those ratios with Amtek Auto’s various competitors and industry averages.
5. Based on your trend and competition analysis of financial ratios, what would be your suggestion to Rajesh’s client with regards to their current holdings in Amtek Auto and future investment decisions?
Expert Answer:
The detailed answer for the above question is provided below Explanation here are the financial ratios that Rajesh can use to assess the financial risk profile of Amtek Auto Liquidity ratios These rat... View the full answer
