Question 1 (a) Consider the following wage-price market. We ao + pt + zut + t...
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Question 1 (a) Consider the following wage-price market. We ao + α₁pt + αzut + ε₁t Pt = Bo + B₁We + B₂rt + B3m₂ + Ezt Where: t-current time period. w rate of change in money wage. u-unemployment rate in percentage. Pt rate of change in prices (inflation). r=rate of change in cost of capital. m-money supply. Et and Ezt are error terms. wage equation price equation Suppose the equation of interest, one which is to be estimated, is the wage equation. (i) Can the equation be estimated by ordinary least squares (OLS) method? Explain. [5 marks] (ii) Of the possible estimation methods, explain and illustrate how the most suitable estimation method can be used to estimate the the wage equation. [10 marks] (b) The M matrix, M = [In - X(X'X)-¹X'], gives a vector of residuals in the OLS regression of y on the set of regressors, X. The hat matrix (denoted by H) and given by X(X'X)-¹X', gives the fitted values, ŷ, in the OLS estimation. Suppose the PRF is y = XB+ u Given the OLS residuals equation can be expressed as y = y + û; where ŷ is estimator of y (are predicted values) and û are residuals, show that OLS estimation procedure partitions the vector into two parts such that y = Hy + My. [10 marks] (c) Explain the role of the errors/residuals in the estimation and evaluation process of a regression equation. [5 marks] Question 2 (a) Given two time series variables, Y, and X₁. Assume that the time series properties of Y, can be represented in terms of a random walk model, without drift while Xt can be represented by a stationary autoregressive model of order 1 - i.e., AR(1). Using suitable equations, show how a shock to the disturbance term will affect each of these variables. [10 marks] (b) The ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator of the variance of the disturbance term of a regression model is 8² = ara n-(K+1) Demonstrate that ô2 is an unbiased estimator of o². 1 [10 marks] (c) In the matrix approach, state which set of Gauss-Markov assumptions is needed for (i) the derivation of OLS estimators (ii) the statistical properties of OLS estimation. [3 marks] [2 marks] Question 1 (a) Consider the following wage-price market. We ao + α₁pt + αzut + ε₁t Pt = Bo + B₁We + B₂rt + B3m₂ + Ezt Where: t-current time period. w rate of change in money wage. u-unemployment rate in percentage. Pt rate of change in prices (inflation). r=rate of change in cost of capital. m-money supply. Et and Ezt are error terms. wage equation price equation Suppose the equation of interest, one which is to be estimated, is the wage equation. (i) Can the equation be estimated by ordinary least squares (OLS) method? Explain. [5 marks] (ii) Of the possible estimation methods, explain and illustrate how the most suitable estimation method can be used to estimate the the wage equation. [10 marks] (b) The M matrix, M = [In - X(X'X)-¹X'], gives a vector of residuals in the OLS regression of y on the set of regressors, X. The hat matrix (denoted by H) and given by X(X'X)-¹X', gives the fitted values, ŷ, in the OLS estimation. Suppose the PRF is y = XB+ u Given the OLS residuals equation can be expressed as y = y + û; where ŷ is estimator of y (are predicted values) and û are residuals, show that OLS estimation procedure partitions the vector into two parts such that y = Hy + My. [10 marks] (c) Explain the role of the errors/residuals in the estimation and evaluation process of a regression equation. [5 marks] Question 2 (a) Given two time series variables, Y, and X₁. Assume that the time series properties of Y, can be represented in terms of a random walk model, without drift while Xt can be represented by a stationary autoregressive model of order 1 - i.e., AR(1). Using suitable equations, show how a shock to the disturbance term will affect each of these variables. [10 marks] (b) The ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator of the variance of the disturbance term of a regression model is 8² = ara n-(K+1) Demonstrate that ô2 is an unbiased estimator of o². 1 [10 marks] (c) In the matrix approach, state which set of Gauss-Markov assumptions is needed for (i) the derivation of OLS estimators (ii) the statistical properties of OLS estimation. [3 marks] [2 marks]
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We can estimate the equation of interest by OLS as follows wage 1P 2gu 3se where P prices g unemployment rate s cost of capital error term 1 2 and 3 are coefficients to be estimated Can the equation b... View the full answer
Related Book For
Biochemistry Concepts and Connections
ISBN: 978-0321839923
1st edition
Authors: Dean R. Appling, Spencer J. Anthony Cahill, Christopher K. Mathews
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