The public health official for your jurisdiction announced that last month there were 50 Covid deaths among
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Question:
The public health official for your jurisdiction announced that last month there were 50 Covid deaths among vaccinated people, and 50 Covid deaths among unvaccinated people. Upon hearing this, your friend Larry commented, "Ha, I guess the vaccine isn't as effective as they claim. You're just as likely to die from Covid if you're vac- cinated as you are if you're unvaccinated." Did Larry make a good inference? Use Bayes' Theorem to explain why or why not. (Hint: we can interpret Larry's claim as P (D|V ) = P (D|V ) where V ="you are vaccinated" and D ="you die from Covid.")
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