Using the cash flows in Exhibit 9, calculate the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), and then
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Using the cash flows in Exhibit 9, calculate the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), and then find the intrinsic value of the stock. Assume a market risk premium of 6.0%, a corporate tax rate of 35%, and a debt beta of 0.30.
Exhibit 9 Forecasted Operating Assumptions and Cash flow Items ($ Millions) | |||||||||
July-Dec | Fiscal Year Ending December 31st | ||||||||
2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ||||
Operating Assumptions | |||||||||
REO Production (tons, thousands) | 6.00 | 25.00 | 40.00 | 40.00 | 40.00 | 40.00 | |||
Percentage of REO allocated to Metals Production | 0.63 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | |||
Metals production (tons, thousands) | 3.76 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 14.00 | |||
REO Price ($/kg) | 43.20 | 20.60 | 19.20 | 19.47 | 19.74 | 20.02 | |||
Metal/Alloy Price ($/kg) | 104.69 | 58.10 | 63.06 | 63.94 | 64.84 | 65.74 | |||
REO Cost ($/kg) | 26.10 | 9.30 | 6.00 | 6.08 | 6.17 | 6.26 | |||
Metal/Alloy Cost ($/kg) | 82.11 | 34.36 | 37.36 | 37.88 | 38.41 | 38.95 | |||
Revenue | |||||||||
REO | $ 96.77 | $ 350.20 | $ 499.20 | $ 506.19 | $ 513.28 | $ 520.46 | |||
Metals/Alloys | $ 393.63 | $ 464.80 | $ 882.80 | $ 895.16 | $ 907.69 | $ 920.40 | |||
Total Revenue | 490.40 | 815.00 | 1,382.00 | 1,401.35 | 1,420.97 | 1,440.86 | |||
Cost of Sales | |||||||||
REO | 58.46 | 158.10 | 156.00 | 158.18 | 160.40 | 162.64 | |||
Metals/Alloys | 308.74 | 274.90 | 523.00 | 530.32 | 537.75 | 545.27 | |||
Total Cost of Sales | 367.20 | 433.00 | 679.00 | 688.51 | 698.15 | 707.92 | |||
Gross Profit | |||||||||
REO | 38.30 | 192.10 | 343.20 | 348.00 | 352.88 | 357.82 | |||
Metals/Alloys | 84.90 | 189.90 | 359.80 | 364.84 | 369.94 | 375.12 | |||
Total Gross Profit | 123.20 | 382.00 | 703.00 | 712.84 | 722.82 | 732.94 | |||
SG&A | 57.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 101.40 | 102.82 | 104.26 | |||
Other Expense | 17.00 | 9.00 | 10.00 | 10.14 | 10.28 | 10.43 | |||
EBITDA | 49.20 | 273.00 | 593.00 | 601.30 | 609.72 | 618.26 | |||
Cash Flow Items | |||||||||
Capital Expenditures | 334.00 | 70.00 | 45.00 | 45.00 | 45.00 | 45.00 | |||
Depreciation | 24.50 | 125.00 | 125.00 | 125.00 | 125.00 | 125.00 | |||
Net Working Capital (1) | 300.51 | 258.43 | 288.58 | 292.78 | 297.04 | 301.35 | |||
Gross Margin | 25.1% | 46.9% | 50.9% | 50.9% | 50.9% | 50.9% | |||
Revenue Growth (2) | 20.0% | 69.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
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