Winterville, a city of population 125,000 in the Rust Belt, has a significant homeless popula-tion. At present, it has facilities that can provide overnight residence for 200 single homeless individuals and 100 family members (normally mothers with children). No one really knows how many homeless are in Winterville, and other nearby localities also have some number of home-less individuals. However, due to all-too-frequent emergency responses during periods of severe weather, it is clear that the number of beds is insufficient. There is a proposal to acquire a former hotel and convert it to 200 spaces for family members while converting the 100 current family spaces to additional spaces for single individuals.

Write three scenarios reflecting possible outcomes of this decision. The scenarios should reflect policy success, potential failure due to doing too little, and potential failure due to doing too much.