Your company is contemplating on investing in a manufacturing facility in China. You are charged with doing
Question:
Your company is contemplating on investing in a manufacturing facility in China. You are charged with doing the financial analysis for this project. You expect the cash flows (in Chinese RMB) for this project to last indefinitely. You estimated the following cash flows for 2022-2027 and that the cash flows will grow at a constant rate starting 2028.
Year | FCF | Other Data |
2022 | -70,000,000 RMB | Growth rate of RMB FCF starting 2028 = 2% |
2023 | 6,000,000 RMB | Cost of Capital for similar U.S. Projects (WACC) = 10% |
2024 | 9,000,000 RMB | Inflation in the U.S. = 7% |
2025 2026 2027 | 10,000,000 RMB 12,000,000 RMB 15,000,000 RMB | Inflation in China = 8% Spot rate = 7.3 RMB/USD
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a) What is the appropriate discount rate you should use to discount the RMB cash flows?
b) What is the RMB NPV and IRR for this project? (If Excel is used, please cut and paste it here, showing all the cash flows and answers to this question.)
c) What is the USD NPV for this project? (Please show your calculation converting RMB NPV to USD NPV.)
d) What are the i) RMB cost of capital, and ii) RMB NPV if inflation in China rises to 9% and the U.S. inflation rises to 8%?