A successful launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) requires three steps: the signal to fire must

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A successful launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) requires three steps: the signal to fire must reach the missile team, the ignition mechanism must work properly, and the missile must not explode prematurely. Th e Department of Defense estimates that the probability that the signal to fi re an ICBM will reach a missile team is .96. For any given missile, the probability that the ignition mechanism will work is .89. For missiles with operative ignition systems, 15 of every 100 will explode in the silo or before reaching orbit. Given the command to fire, what is the probability of a successful launch for any given missile?

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Applied Statistics For Public And Nonprofit Administration

ISBN: 9781111342807

8th Edition

Authors: Kenneth J. Meier, Jeffrey L. Brudney, John Bohte

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