Suppose you have two siblings, and all three of you were born in the same month of the year. Explain how you could use simulation to estimate the probability that in a family of three children they are all born in the same month. You do not have to provide exact de-tails about how you would actually simulate each birthday.
Answer to relevant QuestionsAs a promotion, a cereal brand is offering a prize in each box, and there are four possible prizes. You would like to collect all four prizes, but you only plan to buy six boxes of the cereal before the promotion ends. ...Find a study that was done using simulation to estimate a p-value, probability, or random outcome, similar to the earthquake simulation study described in Case Study 15.1. Or, find a simulation website that allows you to ...In this chapter, we learned that one way to lower personal-probability assessments that are too high is to list reasons why you might be wrong. Explain how the availability heuristic might account for this phenomenon. Suppose a defense attorney is trying to convince the jury that his client’s wallet, found at the scene of the crime, was actually planted there by his client’s gardener. Here are two possible ways he might present this ...Although it’s not quite true, suppose the probability of having a male child (M) is equal to the probability of having a female child (F). A couple has four children. a. Are they more likely to have FFFF or to have MFFM? ...
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