Table 2 gives the regression output of an AR(1) model on first differences in the unemployment rate.

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Table 2 gives the regression output of an AR(1) model on first differences in the unemployment rate. Describe how to interpret the DW statistic for this regression.
TABLE 2 Estimating an AR(1) Model of Changes in the Civilian Unemployment Rate Monthly Observations, March 1996-December 2000
Regression Statistics
R-squared...................................0.2184
Standard error.............................0.1202
Observations....................................58
Durbin-Watson...........................2.1852
Coefficient Standard Error t-Statistic Intercept AUER,-1 -0.0405 0.0161 -2.5110 -0.4674 0.1181 -3.9562
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Quantitative Investment Analysis

ISBN: 978-1119104223

3rd edition

Authors: Richard A. DeFusco, Dennis W. McLeavey, Jerald E. Pinto, David E. Runkle

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