The following table reports the percentage of stocks in a portfolio for nine quarters from 2007 to

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The following table reports the percentage of stocks in a portfolio for nine quarters from 2007 to 2009.
Quarter Stock %
1st—2007 ............ 29.8
2nd—2007 ............ 31.0
3rd—2007 ............ 29.9
4th—2007 ............ 30.1
1st—2008 ............ 32.2
2nd—2008............ 31.5
3rd—2008 ............ 32.0
4th—2008 ............ 31.9
1st—2009 ............ 30.0
a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?
b. Use exponential smoothing to forecast this time series. Consider smoothing constants of α = .2, .3, and .4. What value of the smoothing constant provides the most accurate forecasts?
c. What is the forecast of the percentage of stocks in a typical portfolio for the second quarter of 2009?
Stocks
Stocks or shares are generally equity instruments that provide the largest source of raising funds in any public or private listed company's. The instruments are issued on a stock exchange from where a large number of general public who are willing...
Portfolio
A portfolio is a grouping of financial assets such as stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies and cash equivalents, as well as their fund counterparts, including mutual, exchange-traded and closed funds. A portfolio can also consist of non-publicly...
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Statistics For Business And Economics

ISBN: 9780538481649

11th Edition

Authors: David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A. Williams

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