The great English diarist Samuel Pepys asked his friend Sir Isaac Newton the following question: Is it

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The great English diarist Samuel Pepys asked his friend Sir Isaac Newton the following question: Is it more likely to get at least one 6 when six dice are rolled, at least two 6’s when twelve dice are rolled or at least three 6’s when eighteen dice are rolled? After considerable correspondence. Newton convinced the skeptical Pepys that the first event is the most likely. Compute the three probabilities.
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