U.S.-based American International Group Inc. (AIG) is one of the worlds largest insurance companies, offering property-casualty, life

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U.S.-based American International Group Inc. (AIG) is one of the world’s largest insurance companies, offering property-casualty, life insurance, and retirement services to customers in more than 130 countries. In its 2010 10-K report to the SEC, it discloses the following information on the loss reserves created for claims originating in 2000:

(In millions)

Net Reserves Held in 2000: ... $ 26,971


Cumulative net liability paid as of:

One year later ......... $ 9,709

Two years later......... 17,149

Three years later......... 21,930

Four years later......... 26,090

Five years later......... 29,473

Six years later......... 32,421

Seven years later ......... 34,660

Eight years later ......... 36,497

Nine years later ......... 38,943

Ten years later.........40,153


Net reserves for 2000 re-estimated as of:

One year later......... $ 26,979

Two years later......... 30,696

Three years later.........32,732

Four years later......... 36,210

Five years later......... 41,699

Six years later......... 43,543

Seven years later......... 44,475

Eight years later......... 45,767

Nine years later......... 47,682

Ten years later......... 50,422


Net Redundancy (Deficiency) .........$ (23,451)

Was the initial estimate for loss reserves originating in 2000 too low or too high? How has the firm updated its estimate of this obligation over time? What percentage of the original liability remains outstanding for 2000 claims at the end of 2010? As a financial analyst, what questions would you have for the CFO on its 2000 liability?


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