As a writer for DailyObserver.com, you are at a political gathering. Seventy percent o those in attendance are Republicans; the remaining 30% are Democrats. According to best estimates, 90% of all Republicans favor increasing tax credits for companies developing new green technologies, while only 20% of Democrats favor such credits. You plan to choose someone ran-
domly from the crowd to interview.
a. How likely is it that you would choose a supporter of expanded tax credits?
b. Having chosen someone randomly, suppose you now fnd out that this person is a supporter of expanded tax credits. How likely is it that this person is a Democrat?
c. Suppose the person you have chosen is not a supporter of expanded tax credits. How likely is it that this person is a Republican?