In a community of 100,000 adults, subscribers to a concert series tend to renew their subscription with

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In a community of 100,000 adults, subscribers to a concert series tend to renew their subscription with probability 90% and persons presently not subscribing will subscribe for the next season with probability 0.2%. If the present number of subscribers is 1200, can one predict an increase, decrease, or no change over each of the next three seasons?

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