One theory concerning the Dow Jones Industrial Average is that it is likely to increase during U.S.

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One theory concerning the Dow Jones Industrial Average is that it is likely to increase during U.S. presidential election years. From 1964 through 2016, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased in 11 of the 14 U.S. presidential election years. Assuming that this indicator is a random event with no predictive value, you would expect that the indicator would be correct 50% of the time.

a. What is the probability of the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing in 11 or more of the 14 U.S. presidential election years if the probability of an increase in the Dow Jones Industrial Average is 0.50?

b. What is the probability that the Dow Jones Industrial Average will increase in 11 or more of the 14 U.S. presidential election years if the probability of an increase in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in any year is 0.75?

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Related Book For  answer-question

Basic Business Statistics Concepts And Applications

ISBN: 9780134684840

14th Edition

Authors: Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, Kathryn A. Szabat, David F. Stephan

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