Uniteds manager estimates that the team has a 65% chance of winning any particular game and an

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United’s manager estimates that the team has a 65% chance of winning any particular game and an 85% chance of not drawing any particular game.

a. What are the manager’s estimates most likely to be based on?

b. If the team plays 40 games this season, find the manager’s expectation of the number of games the team will lose.

c. If the team loses one game more than the manager expects this season, explain why this does not necessarily mean that they performed below expectation.

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