If Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow on February 2, then legend says that winter will last 6

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If Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow on February 2, then legend says that winter will last 6 more weeks. In 118 years, Phil has seen his shadow 104 times.

(a) What is the probability that Phil will see his shadow on a randomly chosen Groundhog Day?

(b) Which type of probability (classical, empirical, subjective) do you think this is?

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