# You are considering a 10-year investment project. At present, the expected cash flow each year is $10,000. Suppose, however, that

## Question:

a. Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the NPV of this project. Assume that cash flows are discounted at a rate of 10% per year.

b. Now assume that the project has an abandonment option. At the end of each year you can abandon the project for the value given in the file S16_52.xlsx. For example, suppose that year 1 cash flow is $4000. Then at the end of year 1, you expect cash flow for each remaining year to be $4000. This has an NPV of less than $62,000, so you should abandon the project and collect $62,000 at the end of year 1. Estimate the mean and standard deviation of the project with the abandonment option. How much would you pay for the abandonment option?

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**Related Book For**

## Data Analysis and Decision Making

**ISBN:** 978-0538476126

4th edition

**Authors:** Christian Albright, Wayne Winston, Christopher Zappe

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