Empirical studies find a forward exchange rate bias, which means that future spot rates are different from

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Empirical studies find a forward exchange rate bias, which means that future spot rates are different from those predicted by current forward rates. For example, if country B has a higher nominal interest rate stmcture than country A, this implies higher expected future inflation in country B than in A so that the forward exchange rate of country A should be at a premium over the current spot rate. The expected future spot rate should also be higher than the current spot rate by the same percent as the forward premium. Over a large number of empirical studies, often the actual future spot rate is lower than the current spot rate.
(a) What are some possible explanations for the forward rate bias?
(b) How do forecasters seek to profit from the bias?
Exchange Rate
The value of one currency for the purpose of conversion to another. Exchange Rate means on any day, for purposes of determining the Dollar Equivalent of any currency other than Dollars, the rate at which such currency may be exchanged into Dollars...
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Financial Theory and Corporate Policy

ISBN: 978-0321127211

4th edition

Authors: Thomas E. Copeland, J. Fred Weston, Kuldeep Shastri

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