Between 2002 and 2005, French wine exports to the United States dropped by nearly 18 percent. Some

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Between 2002 and 2005, French wine exports to the United States dropped by nearly 18 percent. Some wine experts blamed part of the decline on what they perceived to be a drop in the quality of French wine. Others blamed a shift in U.S. tastes in favor of domestic wines, and others suggested U.S. residents’ unhappiness with the French government’s foreign policies.

Economists offered a different explanation. During 2003, the dollar depreciated by almost 20 percent relative to the euro. Even if the euro price of a bottle of French wine remained the same, U.S. residents would have seen its dollar price rise by nearly 20 percent. The effective increase in the U.S. price of French wines resulted in a decrease in the quantity of French wine demanded by U.S. residents. Thus, French wine exports to the United States decreased. What do you predict will happen to French wine exports to the United States, other things being equal, if the dollar appreciates considerably in relation to the euro?

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