The alpha fetal protein test is meant to detect spina bifida in unborn babies, a condition that

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The alpha fetal protein test is meant to detect spina bifida in unborn babies, a condition that affects 1 out of 1,000 children who are born. The literature on the test indicates that 5% of the time a healthy baby will cause a positive reaction. We will assume that the test is positive 100% of the time when spina bifida is present. Your doctor has just told you that your alpha fetal protein test was positive. What is the probability that your baby has spina bifida?

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