Acme Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $9,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be 515,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $22,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be -$1,500 per year. The company's analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst-case cash flows.
What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project's cost of capital is 13%?
• $32,836
• $29,981
• $25,698
• $28,553
Acme now wants to take into account its ability to abandon the project at the end of year 2 if the project ends up generating the worst-case scenario cash flows. If it decides to abandon the project at the end of year 2, the company will receive a one-time net cash inflow of $4,750 (at the end of year 2). The $4,750 the company receives at the end of year 2 is the difference between the cash the company receives from selling off the project's assets and the company's -$1,500 cash outflow from operations. Additionally, if it abandons the project, the company will have no cash flows in years 3 and 4 of the project.
Using the information in the preceding problem, find the expected NPV of this project when taking the abandonment option into account.
• $30,266
• $28,753
• $33,293
• $37,833
What is the value of the option to abandon the project?