Question: Based on pretrial speculation, the probability that a jury returns a guilty verdict in a certain high-profile murder case is thought to be 15% if

Based on pretrial speculation, the probability that a jury returns a guilty verdict in a certain high-profile murder case is thought to be 15% if the defense can discredit the police department and 80% if they cannot. Veteran court observers believe that the skilled defense attorneys have a 70% chance of convincing the jury that the police either contaminated or planted some of the key evidence. What is the probability that the jury returns a guilty verdict?

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