Consider the following portion of data on y and x. t...................... y.............................. x 1.................. 56.96..................... 9,171.61 2..................

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Consider the following portion of data on y and x.

t...................... y.............................. x

1.................. 56.96..................... 9,171.61

2.................. 57.28..................... 9,286.56

⋮...................... ⋮............................... ⋮

12.................51.99...................... 9,217.94

a. Estimate yt = β0 + β1xt−1 + εt .

b. Estimate yt = β0 + β1yt−1 + εt .

c. Estimate yt = β0 + β1xt−1 + β2yt−1 + εt.

d. Use the most suitable model to make a onestep- ahead forecast (t = 13) for y.

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