Consider the following regression model: t = - 49.4664 + 0.88544X2t + 0.09253X3t; R2 = 0.9979; d

Question:

Consider the following regression model:
Ŷt = - 49.4664 + 0.88544X2t + 0.09253X3t; R2 = 0.9979; d = 0.8755
t = (- 2.2392) (70.2936) (2.6933)
where
Y = the personal consumption expenditure (1982 billions of dollars)
X2 = the personal disposable income (1982 billions of dollars) (PDI)
X3 = the Dow Jones Industrial Average Stock Index
The regression is based on U.S. data from 1961 to 1985.
a. Is there first-order autocorrelation in the residuals of this regression? How do you know?
b. Using the Durbin two-step procedure, the preceding regression was trans-formed per Eq. (10.15), yielding the following results:
Yt* = - 17.97 + 0.89X*2t + 0.09X*3t; R2 = 0.9816; d = 2.28
t = (30.72) (2.66)
Has the problem of autocorrelation been resolved? How do you know?
c. Comparing the original and transformed regressions, the t value of the PDI has dropped dramatically. What does this suggest?
d. Is the d value from the transformed regression of any value in determining the presence, or lack thereof, of autocorrelation in the transformed data?
Fantastic news! We've Found the answer you've been seeking!

Step by Step Answer:

Related Book For  book-img-for-question

Essentials of Econometrics

ISBN: 978-0073375847

4th edition

Authors: Damodar Gujarati, Dawn Porter

Question Posted: