Question: Estimate the probability of some event in your life using a personal probability, such as the probability that a person who passes you on the

Estimate the probability of some event in your life using a personal probability, such as the probability that a person who passes you on the street will be wearing a hat, or the probability that traffic lights will be red when you get to them. Use an event for which you can keep a record of the relative frequency of occurrence over the next week. How well calibrated were you?

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