Question: Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 5% return for the coming year. A second expects the return to be negative

Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 5% return for the coming year. A second expects the return to be negative 5%. A third predicts a 10% return. A fourth expects a 3% return in the coming year. You are relatively confident that the return will be positive but not large, so you arbitrarily assign probability of being correct of 35%, 5%, 20% and 40%, respectively, to the analysts’ forecast. Given these probability what is Fluorine Chemical’s for the coming year?

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