Question: In a figure discussed in the text, and reproduced below, I showed plots of the gold price and mentioned that, if we had corrected for
In a figure discussed in the text, and reproduced below, I showed plots of the gold price and mentioned that, if we had corrected for inflation, then the 1980 price would be seen to be much above the current peak: obviously, the small percentage price rise of gold, between 1980 and 2007, must have been way below the percentage rise of the us CPI.
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(a) In the above we presumably use us CPI rate to deflate the usd prices. But is this result generalizable to all countries-is this conclusion necessarily also valid for Japanese or German investors? Why (not)?
(b) If you think the result does not necessarily hold true elsewhere, what would you bet w.r.t. a hyper-inflator like Zimbabwe?: if inflation is much higher, then the real price of gold must have fallen even more- no?
(c) What would guarantee identical real price paths in all countries: APPP, RPPP, or what?
700 200 Gold (Log USD Troy Ounce)
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a Valid only if PPP holds which is not true b Not if ... View full answer
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