Question: Just before a referendum on a school budget, a local newspaper polls 400 voters in an attempt to predict whether the budget will pass. Suppose

Just before a referendum on a school budget, a local newspaper polls 400 voters in an attempt to predict whether the budget will pass. Suppose that the budget actually has the support of 52% of the voters. What’s the probability the newspaper’s sample will lead them to predict defeat? Be sure to verify that the assumptions and conditions necessary for your analysis are met.

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