Question: Mr. Hope, a character apprehended by Sherlock Holmes, was driven by revenge to commit two murders. He presented two seemingly identical pills, one containing a

Mr. Hope, a character apprehended by Sherlock Holmes, was driven by revenge to commit two murders. He presented two seemingly identical pills, one containing a deadly poison, to an adversary who selected one while Mr. Hope took the other. The entire procedure was then to be repeated with the second victim. Mr. Hope felt that Providence would protect him, but what is the probability of the success of his endeavor?

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