Kana Corporations economists estimate that a good business environment and a bad business environment are equally likely

Kašna Corporation’s economists estimate that a good business environment and a bad business environment are equally likely for the coming year. The managers of Kašna must choose between two mutually exclusive projects. Assume that the project Kašna chooses will be the firm’s only activity and that the firm will close one year from today.

Kašna is obligated to make a CHK50,000 payment to bondholders at the end of the year. The projects have the same systematic risk but different volatilities. Consider the following information pertaining to the two projects:

(a) What is the expected value of the firm if the low-volatility project is undertaken? What if the high-volatility project is undertaken? Which of the two strategies maximizes the expected value of the firm?

(b) What is the expected value of the firm’s equity if the low-volatility project is undertaken? What is it if the high-volatility project is undertaken?

(c) Which project would Kašna’s shareholders prefer? Explain.

(d) Suppose bondholders are fully aware that shareholders might choose to maximize equity value rather than total firm value and opt for the high-volatility project. To minimize this agency cost, the firm’s bondholders decide to use a bond covenant to stipulate that the bondholders can demand a higher payment if Kašna chooses to take on the high-volatility project. What payment to bondholders would make shareholders indifferent between the two projects?

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Economy Bad Good Probability 0.50 0.50 Low-Volatility Project Pay-off (CHK) 50,000 70,000 High-Volatility Project Pay-off (CHK) 10,000 80,000