Question: 3. 8.66 Four mutually exclusive alternatives are evaluated using three estimates or strategies (pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic) for several parameters. The resulting PW values

3. 8.66 Four mutually exclusive alternatives are evaluated using three estimates or strategies (pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic) for several parameters. The resulting PW values over the LCM are shown. Table Summary: Table divided into two columns compares four types of strategies based on various parameters. Column 1 notes the strategy. Column 2, PW over LCM, in dollars, is further divided into four sub-groups as: 1; 2; 3; and 4. Strategy PW over LCM, $ 1 2 3 4 Pessimistic (P) 4,500 −6,000 3,700 −1,900 Most likely (ML) 5,100 −500 5,000 −100 Optimistic (O) 9,500 2,000 9,800 3,500 Page 274The best alternative to select using only the pessimistic strategy is 1. 1 2. 2 3. 3 4. 4

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