You have come up with a great idea for a Sawasdee Thai restaurant. After doing a financial analysis of this venture, you estimate that the initial outlay will be \($5\) million. You estimate that there is a 55 percent chance that this new restaurant will be well received and will produce annual cash flows of \($850,000\) per year forever (a perpetuity), while there is 45 percent chance of it producing a cash flow of only \($150,000\) per year forever (a perpetuity) if it isn’t received well.

a. What is the NPV of the restaurant if the required rate of return you use to discount the project cash flows is 12 percent?

b. What are the real options that this analysis may be ignoring?

c. Explain why the project may be worthwhile, even though you have just estimated that its NPV is negative.