A company is contracted to build an asset for a customer. The contract price is 5m but

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A company is contracted to build an asset for a customer. The contract price is £5m but the contract stipulates that the company will receive an incentive payment of a further £1m if the asset is completed by the end of 2020. However, the company will incur a penalty of £1m if the asset is not completed by the end of June 2021. The company estimates that the probability of completing the asset by the end of 2020 is 25% and the probability of not completing the asset by the end of June 2021 is 5%.

Determine the transaction price for this contract.

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